Ariana Arseneault vs Mary Lewis Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Lewis has secured 33.94% of points on their second serve over the past six months, while Arseneault's performance stands at 40.5%. Could this offer Arseneault a serve advantage? Yes, it appears so.
• In return games, Lewis has captured 54.44% of opponents' second serve points compared to Arseneault's 50.41%. Does Lewis have an edge here? Certainly seems like it.
• On first serve returns, Lewis has won 38.32% of points, outperforming Arseneault who has 32%. Lewis' slightly more effective return could play a significant role in the match.
• Under pressure, Lewis has saved 35.85% of breakpoints, which is less than Arseneault's 44.1%, indicating potential resilience from Arseneault.
• In the past year, Lewis has won 41.38% of their matches, while Arseneault boasts a 63.41% win rate, suggesting more consistent outcomes for Arseneault.
• Both players perform best on indoor hard courts but Arseneault edges out with a 55% win rate compared to Lewis' 50% in such conditions.
• The level of tournaments can impact results: Lewis has a 41.38% win rate at the Challengers/ITF level, while Arseneault's is significantly higher at 62.16%.
• Considering opponent quality, Lewis and Arseneault have competed against players with average ranks of 392.41 and 377.05, respectively, with Arseneault facing slightly tougher opponents.
• In matches that reach a deciding set, Arseneault has a 45% win rate compared to Lewis' 40%, potentially giving Arseneault an edge in tight scenarios.
• Breaking serves is crucial: Lewis converts 42.86% of breakpoints, while Arseneault reaches 45.83%, a vital stat for predicting in-game momentum shifts.

Editorial Prediction (June 11, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents a competitive landscape where both players show distinct strengths. Arseneault demonstrates a capacity to win more points on their second serve, which might give them the upper hand in maintaining service games.

Lewis, however, excels in return games, specifically on both first and second serves, potentially allowing them to challenge Arseneault's service games more effectively.

While Lewis has shown better performance in direct returns, Arseneault seems to hold a psychological edge, with a better breakpoint conversion and saving percentage, indicating resilience under pressure.

Arseneault’s superior win rate over the past year and better performance against higher-ranked opponents bolster the argument for their favored status in this matchup.

Taking into account all performance metrics and recent history, Arseneault is most likely to emerge victorious in this upcoming tennis match.